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A study published by the African Center for Strategic and Digital Studies (CAESD) warns about the fragility of the Moroccan labor market. "The Moroccan labor market is going through a critical phase that combines promising opportunities and deep structural risks. While the economy is celebrating sectoral successes, particularly in the automotive industry, and a dynamic linked to the preparations for the organization of the 2030 World Cup, a careful examination reveals a worrying fragility," warns the author of the study.

The African Center for Studies points out that "the current growth model dangerously depends on fluctuations in the European market, and that a large part of the employment opportunities created in sectors such as construction, tourism and services are by nature circumstantial and temporary." According to the center, "dependence on Europe in the industry makes Morocco hostage to its protectionist and environmental policies." Worse, "the prosperity linked to the World Cup hides behind it a "bubble" that could burst after 2030, leaving thousands of workers without alternatives," the center warns.

The study shows that the organization of the 2030 World Cup is a huge economic catalyst, with estimates predicting the creation of around 250,000 temporary jobs in the construction and public works (BTP) sector, and around 100,000 semi-permanent jobs in tourism and hospitality. However, a question arises: what will happen to the Moroccan labor market after 2030? "This prosperity could only be circumstantial. After the end of the major construction projects, the construction sector will face a labor surplus, and after the end of the event, the tourism sector could experience a slowdown if a sustainable strategy to attract visitors is not built," the report warns.

The African Center for Studies notes that "if the planning of the post-2030 stage is not started now through economic diversification and skills conversion programs, Morocco risks facing an acute unemployment crisis among construction and tourism workers, which could lead to social unrest." And to insist: "dependence on Europe and dependence on circumstantial events constitute the Achilles heel of the Moroccan labor market." The center calls through this study for urgent action to build a more autonomous, diversified and sustainable economic model.