2026 World Cup: what mathematical models really predict for Morocco
As the competition approaches, mathematical models assess Morocco’s destiny. While the final victory seems difficult, the team has solid arguments to successfully navigate the early rounds of the 2026 World Cup.
According to The Analyst’s forecasts, Morocco has real opportunities to advance in the tournament. The figures estimate its chances of success in the group stage at 29.02%. The probability of reaching the round of 16 climbs to 44.51%.
On Bladi.net : 2026 World Cup: a supercomputer gives no chance to Morocco
The ambition to go further remains possible for the Lions of the Atlas. Statistical data gives them 23.06% chances of reaching the quarterfinals. The prospect of playing a semifinal stands at 10.04%.
Access to the final act of the competition promises to be logically more complex against the major nations. The study calculates a 4.33% probability of seeing Morocco secure its ticket to the grand final.
On Bladi.net : Morocco eliminated by France in the 2026 World Cup quarter-finals: the scenario of The Athletic
Finally, world glory represents an immense challenge. This prediction model gives the country only 1.78% chances of winning the championship title. With these results, Morocco ranks twelfth in the table of analyzed teams.
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