2026 World Cup Morocco Odds Opta Supercomputer Predictions

The Atlas Lions have a card to play in the summer tournament organized from June 11 to July 19 in the United States, Mexico and Canada. According to the company’s 10,000 statistical simulations, the squad led by Achraf Hakimi ranks 13th among title contenders.

On Bladi.net : 2026 World Cup: a supercomputer gives no chance to Morocco

With a probability of winning estimated at 1.86%, Morocco thus positions itself as the very first nation located outside UEFA and CONMEBOL zones within this global ranking.

At the top of the list of 48 qualified teams, Spain seizes the status of overwhelming favorite with 16.12% chance of final victory. It narrowly leads the French team, second with 12.98% chance of winning a third star, and England which completes the podium at 11.18%.

On Bladi.net : 2026 World Cup: the figures that smile on Morocco

Argentina, the defending champion, ranks fourth ahead of Portugal and Brazil. Conversely, the supercomputer does not believe in miracles for small nations: qualified for the first time in its history, Curaçao inherits a strictly zero chance of victory.