How Morocco has gained the upper hand over Spain

March 18, 2022 marked a historic turning point with Pedro Sánchez’s letter aligning Spain with the Moroccan theses of autonomy for the Sahara. This 180-degree turn, which has shattered relations with Algeria, is seen as proof that Morocco is always one step ahead. For the media La Razón, Rabat continues to increase its international weight, often to the detriment of Madrid’s interests.

On Bladi.net: Call to end the "Spanish occupation" in Sebta and Melilla

The alliance between Washington and Rabat has been consolidated with the Abraham Accords in 2020, including the American recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over the Sahara. Under Donald Trump’s second term, Morocco is asserting itself as the United States’ priority partner in the region. This proximity is such that the eventuality of a transfer of the military bases of Rota and Morón to Moroccan soil is now openly discussed.

The strength of the Kingdom lies in its long-term vision, typical of a monarchy, in contrast to the short cycles of Spanish democracy. According to a diplomat quoted by La Razón, Rabat is "miles ahead" thanks to effective lobbying in Brussels and Washington. While Spain is content to react to crises, Morocco maneuvers and manages the diplomatic calendar to serve its economic priorities.

The case of the enclaves of Ceuta and Melilla perfectly illustrates this dynamic of pressure. Rabat uses the opening or closing of commercial customs as a permanent political lever. Despite the reassuring speeches of the Spanish government on a supposed "normality" at the borders, the reality on the ground remains blocked. For Morocco, these borders are a tool to challenge, at will, Spanish sovereignty.

On Bladi.net: "Ceuta and Melilla are in Morocco": the shocking statement of an American official

Finally, Moroccan audacity is fueled by influential international voices. Expert Michael Rubin recently suggested a new "Green March" towards Ceuta and Melilla to hoist the Moroccan flag there. Such statements weaken Madrid’s position, particularly within NATO, while Rabat treats its relationship with its neighbor as a central strategic issue spanning several decades.