Algeria seeks war, Morocco plays strategic patience

While border markers were unilaterally moved in early February 2026 in Ich, Ahmed Noureddine categorically rejects the official or unofficial justification of a technical implementation of the 1972 border demarcation convention. For the expert interviewed by Al3omk, to claim that Algeria, which is closing its airspace to Moroccan pilgrims and waging an all-out diplomatic war, would have "forgotten" or tolerated the exploitation of its land by Moroccans for 50 years is "science fiction". He describes this justification as a "major disinformation operation" aimed at legitimizing what he considers to be a dispossession, in line with the amputation of the El Arja oasis in March 2021.

This action, according to him, is part of a systematic "hostile deluge" that includes:

• The assassination of civilians (young people on the beach of Saïdia, recent border shootings).

• The economic and media war.

• The ban on Moroccan ports for goods destined for Algeria.

• Live-fire military maneuvers in the immediate vicinity of the border.

The theory of the "suicidal choice"

When questioned about Algiers’ motivations, Ahmed Noureddine analyzes this escalation as an attempt to flee forward. With a colossal military budget reaching $25 billion this year, the Algerian regime would be desperately seeking to break its international isolation and mask its internal crises (political and socio-economic) by provoking an armed conflict.

"The enemy seeks to drag you into a war whose timing or location he chooses," explains the expert, describing this option as "suicidal" for an Algeria dependent on hydrocarbon rents and politically fractured.

The Moroccan response: widening the gap

Faced with these provocations, Morocco opposes strategic patience. Rabat refuses to react according to the timing imposed by Algiers, preferring to focus on:

• The modernization of its Royal Armed Forces and its military industry.

• Economic and technological development.

• Strengthening its international alliances.

According to Noureddine, time is on Morocco’s side, as it widens the development gap with its neighbor, while Algeria sinks into a political impasse.

The urgency of internationalization and compensation

Despite the relevance of Moroccan military restraint, the expert calls on the State to come out of its reserve on two crucial levels:

• On the diplomatic level: He urges Rabat to document these violations and bring the case before UN and international bodies to record the repeated aggressions.

• On the domestic level: He insists on the State’s responsibility in compensating the victims. Whether it is the farmers of El Arja (2021), those of Ich (2026), or the expellees of 1975, the expert believes that national solidarity must be translated into material and moral reparation for every inch of land lost and every injury suffered.